I am a staker. And I did argue against too many rewards directed at stakers.
That shows you I’m very genuine in wanting the best outcome for the protocol
I’d argue that stakers rewards contributed to the price action we’ve seen.
Kamino did linear rewards. From the KMNO launch to now Kamino TVL has increased from 1B to nearly 3.5B.
But… Jupiter didn’t do liner rewards and if we plot TVL from JUP launch to now Jupiter TVL has increased from just under 400M to just over 3.5B.
In both cases though the price performance of KNMO and JUP is poor. Even poorer considering the SOL token has nearly doubled in price over the same time period (JUP and KMNO launched near each other).
So, in a way, both teams (Jupiter and Kamino) have done well as they’ve been able to drive excellent TVL growth with their token. If we use TVL as a rough estimate of fees that means they’ve been able to increase protocol revenue.
The smartest thing seems to have been to have sold KNMO back into SOL after each airdrop and redeployed back into the protocol to farm more rewards, and in doing so that has helped drive more fees for Kamino.
For JUP the smartest thing seems to have been to stake back into the ASR… but the ASR doesn’t drive any fees.
This is what I’m worried about as goes staker rewards on Jupiter.
Yes there is a token boost for KNMO staking but it’s not big. Most of the points come from active positions on Kamino (that are fee generating) and Kamino has adjusted the points boosts each season, in line with their overall strategy, and published guides on how to best optimise points.
To date the driving force for staking was to incentivise voting and governance participation, which has happened (the Kamino Foundation DAO is barely a thing in comparison), but there’s no direct connection to the product. I see a few product discussions on the forums but mostly it’s about staking rewards and loyalty allocations.
Now that the ASR is suspended, and possibly staking rewards as we’ve known them are nearing an end, what happens next?
Kamino has always leaned into revenue generating incentives and leaned away from pure staking boosts. There’s a world where they can profitably keep buying back KMNO and redeploying into incentive schemes indefinitely (or they can at least extend incentives much longer than Jupiter).
Can Jupiter do that? Yes they can but staking incentives look a lot different in that world. You won’t get tokens for simply being staked.
NB: Scroll and ZK Sync are jokes. Everyone knows that. There was no organic usage what-so-ever on either chain. They aren’t examples of anything but teams ripping off VCs (and thus making it harder for legit teams to raise)